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 Post subject: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2018 6:25 am 
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Some time ago I read an article about China and her Island building strategy, the article pointed out that the Japanese used an island defense strategy in the WW2, it failed with a high cost for us and the Japs.

Now I suggest we bomb their defenses/offenses and starve the out:
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Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn

It’s a cliché that generals are always preparing to fight the last war. But that’s also true of writers, both fiction and nonfiction. While there is no lack of speculation about future conflicts, the most likely of these has largely been overlooked. It’s not going to happen in the MidEast, it’s not going to happen in central Europe, and it’s not going to happen in Korea.


“Blue China”

The site of the next major war is the South China Sea, a nearly enclosed section of the Pacific 1.35 million miles in extent, bordered on the north by Southern China and Taiwan, on the east by the Philippines, on the south by Malaysia, Indonesia, and Brunei, and on the west by Vietnam.

Within that extent lies two major island chains (if the term can used for such a collection of acre-wide pea-patches) the Spratlys, a not far from the Philippine island of Palawan, and the Paracels a few hundred miles southwest of Hainan Island. Other islands include Scarborough Shoal (known as Huangyan Island to the Chinese), the Pratas Islands, and the Macclesfield Bank, along with hundreds of shoals, reefs, and sand banks, many of them nameless, some of them only intermittently visible above the surface.
(Continued)
https://www.baen.com/south-china-sea

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 Post subject: Re: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2018 9:21 am 
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Main thing that will "defeat" China is its governments inability to reform and keep in line with 21st century values of individual liberty, justice and equity.

We just need to keep pressure on them in order to facilitate them destroying their own regime. Admittedly, even that is a bit tricky; but far less tricky than getting embroiled in a shooting war. Way too many X variables in that kinda thing for such a big ass totalitarian splinter state.

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 Post subject: Re: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2018 12:41 pm 
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IMHO the strategy outlined by the author may indeed be a valid strategy for dealing with China once a shooting war has broken out.

And there is nothing with with planning out potential strategies.

That said, during peacetime there is no reason to act on them.

Those countries who are in the region should be the primary defenders.

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 Post subject: Re: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2018 5:45 am 
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 Post subject: Re: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Wed Aug 22, 2018 5:54 am 
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Quote:
Asia
China expects to wean away Taiwan's last Africa ally soon


President Tsai Ing-wen speaks to the media, after El Salvador ended diplomatic relations with Taiwa
President Tsai Ing-wen speaks to the media, after El Salvador ended diplomatic relations with Taiwan, in Taipei, Taiwan August 21, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
22 Aug 2018 03:50PM (Updated: 22 Aug 2018 04:44PM)
....
Ahead of next month's summit between China and African leaders in Beijing, China has been upping the pressure on Taiwan's last remaining ally on the continent, eSwatini, formerly known as Swaziland, to come over to China's side, diplomatic sources say.
Read more at https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/as ... n-10640942
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El Salvador caved, but eSwatini is still standing tall.

I remember when we caved, was working overseas with Taiwanese, not a very good day.

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