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 Post subject: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2018 6:25 am 
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Some time ago I read an article about China and her Island building strategy, the article pointed out that the Japanese used an island defense strategy in the WW2, it failed with a high cost for us and the Japs.

Now I suggest we bomb their defenses/offenses and starve the out:
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Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn

It’s a cliché that generals are always preparing to fight the last war. But that’s also true of writers, both fiction and nonfiction. While there is no lack of speculation about future conflicts, the most likely of these has largely been overlooked. It’s not going to happen in the MidEast, it’s not going to happen in central Europe, and it’s not going to happen in Korea.


“Blue China”

The site of the next major war is the South China Sea, a nearly enclosed section of the Pacific 1.35 million miles in extent, bordered on the north by Southern China and Taiwan, on the east by the Philippines, on the south by Malaysia, Indonesia, and Brunei, and on the west by Vietnam.

Within that extent lies two major island chains (if the term can used for such a collection of acre-wide pea-patches) the Spratlys, a not far from the Philippine island of Palawan, and the Paracels a few hundred miles southwest of Hainan Island. Other islands include Scarborough Shoal (known as Huangyan Island to the Chinese), the Pratas Islands, and the Macclesfield Bank, along with hundreds of shoals, reefs, and sand banks, many of them nameless, some of them only intermittently visible above the surface.
(Continued)
https://www.baen.com/south-china-sea

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 Post subject: Re: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2018 9:21 am 
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Main thing that will "defeat" China is its governments inability to reform and keep in line with 21st century values of individual liberty, justice and equity.

We just need to keep pressure on them in order to facilitate them destroying their own regime. Admittedly, even that is a bit tricky; but far less tricky than getting embroiled in a shooting war. Way too many X variables in that kinda thing for such a big ass totalitarian splinter state.

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 Post subject: Re: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Mon Jul 30, 2018 12:41 pm 
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IMHO the strategy outlined by the author may indeed be a valid strategy for dealing with China once a shooting war has broken out.

And there is nothing with with planning out potential strategies.

That said, during peacetime there is no reason to act on them.

Those countries who are in the region should be the primary defenders.

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 Post subject: Re: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Fri Aug 10, 2018 5:45 am 
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 Post subject: Re: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Wed Aug 22, 2018 5:54 am 
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Quote:
Asia
China expects to wean away Taiwan's last Africa ally soon


President Tsai Ing-wen speaks to the media, after El Salvador ended diplomatic relations with Taiwa
President Tsai Ing-wen speaks to the media, after El Salvador ended diplomatic relations with Taiwan, in Taipei, Taiwan August 21, 2018. REUTERS/Stringer
22 Aug 2018 03:50PM (Updated: 22 Aug 2018 04:44PM)
....
Ahead of next month's summit between China and African leaders in Beijing, China has been upping the pressure on Taiwan's last remaining ally on the continent, eSwatini, formerly known as Swaziland, to come over to China's side, diplomatic sources say.
Read more at https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/as ... n-10640942
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El Salvador caved, but eSwatini is still standing tall.

I remember when we caved, was working overseas with Taiwanese, not a very good day.

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 Post subject: Re: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Tue Oct 23, 2018 4:07 pm 
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https://www.businessinsider.com/china-a ... st-2018-10

Quote:
China built the world's biggest amphibious plane, and its latest test could give Beijing an edge in the South China Sea

Christopher Woody 2h

Image
China's domestically developed AG600, the world's largest amphibious aircraft, during its maiden flight in Zhuhai, China, on December 24. REUTERS/Stringer

    China's AG600 amphibious plane carried out its first waterborne takeoff and landing on Saturday.
    The plane, the world's largest amphibious aircraft, is designed primarily for civil aviation.
    But its capabilities suggest to some that it could be used to further China's territorial ambitions in disputed areas like the South China Sea.

On Saturday, the AG600, the world's largest amphibious airplane, completed its first takeoff and landing on water at a reservoir in China's central Hubei province.

The plane, known as the Kunlong and developed independently by China, took off from the water and landed steadily after a 14-minute flight, according to China's state-owned Xinhua news agency.

The 121-foot-long aircraft is about 40 feet tall and has a 127-foot wingspan, making it roughly the size of a Boeing 737. It has a range of 2,800 miles and a cruising speed of about 310 mph, and it can fly for up to 12 hours.

Powered by four WJ-6 turboprop engines — Chinese-made versions of a Russian engine — it has a maximum takeoff weight of about 54 tons on land and about 48 tons on water.

It's the third-largest aircraft designed and built in China, after the Y-20 military transport plane and the C-919 commercial passenger plane.

It can carry up to 50 people for maritime search-and-rescue operations and scoop up about 12 tons of water in 20 seconds during firefighting operations.

It's designed to take off and land in waves up to 6.5 feet high. While it has a flight ceiling of just under 20,000 feet, it can cruise as low as about 160 feet.



Beijing approved a development plan for the AG600 in 2009 and unveiled it in July 2016, when it rolled off an assembly line in Zhuhai in southern China. It made its first flight in December and carried out its first on-water tests in September.


Its chief designer, Huang Lingcai, said in May 2017 that the manufacturer, state-owned Aviation Industry Corporation of China, was aiming to get an airworthiness certification by 2021 and start deliveries by 2022.

It's designated primarily for civil operations and intended for the Chinese market. As of December, there had been 17 orders from the Chinese government and Chinese companies.

But its capabilities lead observers to think it could be used to transport troops or conduct surveillance in disputed waters like the South China Sea.

Xinhua has said the aircraft could "be used to monitor and protect the ocean" and called it the "protector spirit of the sea, islands, and reefs."


The state-owned China Daily newspaper in December described Huang as saying the AG600 could make round trips from China's southern island province of Hainan to James Shoal at the southern edge of the South China Sea without refueling.

Collin Koh, a security expert at Singapore's Nanyang Technological University, told the South China Morning Post in September that "the AG600 would be suitable for the quick transport of troops and materials and could also provide other support such as evacuating garrisons in the South China Sea or even out to the Spratlys."

Koh added: "Beijing will also use it to justify any further buildup in the region, saying the aircraft can be used for the common good, such as providing support to foreign vessels in the area and for search and rescue."

View image on Twitter
View image on Twitter

Global Times

@globaltimesnews
China’s large amphibious aircraft, the AG600, successfully made its first water-based test flight, with experts predicting the aircraft to cover the entire #SouthChinaSea with its far-reaching rescue and monitoring capabilities. http://bit.ly/2q2ptMz

11:20 PM - Oct 21, 2018
11

b
China's land-reclamation projects in the South China Sea have helped it expand its presence in the area, which is covered by overlapping claims made by several countries.

Since 2013, China has developed more than 3,200 acres of land in the Spratly Islands. Those efforts have turned to construction.

In addition to building runways, communications facilities, barracks, and hangars, China has militarized several of its outposts in the Spratlys and the Paracel Islands, adding various point-defense systems, jamming technology, anti-ship cruise missiles, and surface-to-air missiles.

China's domestically developed AG600, the world's largest amphibious aircraft, takes off for its maiden flight in Zhuhai
The AG600.REUTERS/Stringer
Satellite imagery released earlier this year by the Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative showed at least four airstrips in the Spratlys and the Paracels capable of handling military aircraft.

The AG600, which can take off and land in water as shallow as 8 feet, could be used to link those islands.


In early 2016, China appeared ready to start reclaiming land at Scarborough Shoal, a group of rocky outcroppings about 130 miles from the Philippine coast. But it backed down after the US warned of consequences, and the Philippines has since said that building at Scarborough is a "red line."

Earlier this year, China's air force said it landed bomber aircraft, including the H-6K strategic bomber, on islands in the South China Sea as part of an exercise it described as preparation for "the West Pacific and the battle for the South China Sea."



As a comparison, the Hughes H-4 Hercules (Howard Hughes' Spruce Goose") had a length almost twice the Chinese plane and a wingspan almost 3 times in length. So the Chinese plane might be the "world's biggest amphibious plane" currently in use.

I suppose this plane would prove useful in supplying those Chinese man-made/appropriated islands that did not yet have an airstrip built.

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 Post subject: Re: Conflict in the South China Sea by J.R. Dunn
PostPosted: Tue Oct 23, 2018 5:49 pm 
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Seems to have quite a high landing speed.

Nice looking aircraft in the water. Slightly goofy looking up on the landing gear.

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